A recent poll shows former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in five of the seven key swing states that will decide the 2024 election. The AtlasIntel survey indicates Trump is ahead in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, while Harris leads in Nevada and North Carolina.

If these results hold, Trump would win with 290 Electoral College votes, surpassing the 270 needed. The poll, conducted between September 20 and 25 with a margin of error, suggests Trump has a strong chance in several crucial battlegrounds, including Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.

Trump officials attribute the lead to dissatisfaction with Harris’s policies, citing issues like inflation and crime. They argue that voters are ready for a change.

If Trump wins just a few key states, like North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia, he could secure victory. He also stands a good chance if he wins Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Nevada or flips one of Wisconsin or Michigan.